Gameweek 29 is all about leverage. The best differentials aren’t ‘random punts’ — they’re players with standout underlying numbers (xGI, threat, creativity) and/or a bonus floor that keeps them relevant even in tighter games. This week’s slate is led by two midfielders posting premium-level xGI for mid-price money, plus a low-owned forward with elite shot volume and a budget defender who can sneak assists.
New to FPL differentials? Learn what differentials are and how they work or explore our Touchline Score methodology to understand how we identify these picks.
Decision
Compare these picks side-by-side before you lock your move.
Top Selected Differential Picks
Dewsbury-Hall
EvertonTop pick this week. He’s producing premium-level involvement for a bargain price: xGI 6.39 driven by huge xA (3.96) plus strong goal threat (260). Add 13 bonus and a strong BPS base (399) and you get a midfielder with both floor and ceiling. If Everton return, he’s exactly the type who hoovers up points.
Stach
LeedsA ridiculous value differential. Elite ICT (150.9) and creativity (729.6) with xGI 6.01 for 4.7m is basically cheating if he’s getting the minutes. Bonus output is already strong (11) and BPS is high (446), which suggests returns can come via assists + bonus even without a goal.
Raúl
FulhamThe high-ceiling forward pick. Threat is monstrous (655) with elite xG (10.02) and xGI (10.85) — that’s the profile of a striker who can explode any week. At 2.7% ownership, one haul is a genuine rank swing. You’re backing volume: shots, chances, and eventual conversion.
Diouf
West HamA proper budget enabler with upside. At 4.0m and under 2% ownership, you’re mainly buying value — but the assist potential is real (xA 1.69, xGI 2.15) and his form is strong (6.8). If West Ham nick a clean sheet or he lands an assist, you’re flying for the price.
Rayan
BournemouthThe riskier punt on the list — but still a usable differential. Ownership is low (2.6%) and the underlying xGI (1.86) gives him routes to returns. The broader profile isn’t as explosive as the top mids here, so think of him as a ‘supporting differential’ rather than your main swing.
Key Takeaways
- Best overall differential: Dewsbury-Hall — bargain price with huge xGI and bonus floor.
- Best budget mid: Stach — elite creativity/ICT and xGI at 4.7m with strong BPS.
- Highest ceiling forward: Raúl — shot volume profile that can haul at low ownership.
- Best enabler: Diouf — 4.0m DEF with assist potential and good current form.
- Punt pick: Rayan — lower ceiling than the others, but still low-owned with some xGI.